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PC Shipments in EMEA Return to Growth in 2Q14, Says IDC

IDC PMS4colorversion  300x99 PC Shipments in EMEA Return to Growth in 2Q14, Says IDC

According to International Data Corporation (IDC), PC shipments in Europe, the Middle East, and Africa (EMEA) reached 21.9 million units in the second quarter of 2014 — a 10.5% increase year on year and a clear return to growth after seven quarters of consecutive decline. As in the previous quarter, Western Europe drove most of the regional growth, with shipments supported by strong enterprise renewals, which led to an overall 25% increase in the PC market. Consumer shipments also returned to growth after a severe contraction in 2013. At the same time, Central and Eastern Europe (CEE) remained impacted by the unstable political and economic situation in Russia and by currency fluctuations; as forecast, CEE declined by 13.2%. The Middle East and Africa (MEA) posted a modest 1.9% increase in shipments. In line with those trends, portable PC shipments in EMEA returned to growth (up 8.3%), while desktop PC shipments increased 14.1%. The increase in total EMEA shipments indicates a rebound in the market but not a recovery as volumes remain below the 25 million unit mark of the peak periods in 2010 and 2012.
“The clear improvements in EMEA are positive signs for PC manufacturers,” said Chrystelle Labesque, research manager, IDC EMEA Personal Computing. “However, there was still a big difference between the subregions, and especially in the consumer segment the divide between mature and emerging markets is similar to the worldwide trend. While some parts of the CEMA [Central and Eastern Europe, Middle East, and Africa] PC market continued to suffer from unfavorable exchange rates and a difficult political situation, Western European shipments were fueled by low-end consumer notebooks. Even if the comparison is eased by a very poor second quarter of 2013, more attractive products at the right price points encouraged more consumers to renew their devices. Retailers and etailers also seem more confident as new product designs and features better positioned price-wise are now generating higher sales and not only just interest. Promotional activities and vendors’ preparation for the back-to-school period further supported the market. The level of inventory will have to be monitored closely as back-to-school sales progress during August and September.” In this context, Chromebooks continued to grow, but their impact is limited to several countries in Western Europe.
PC shipments in Western Europe have continued to benefit this quarter from ongoing renewals in the SMB space following the end of Windows XP support. Commercial demand remained strong as business confidence stemming from an improving macroeconomic outlook contributed to corporate renewals. Commercial PC shipment growth in Western Europe reached 26.9% — clear confirmation that PCs remain key productivity tools in the enterprise environment. At the same time, the rebound in consumer shipments accelerated and some markets, including southern Europe, returned to levels of business close to their capacity. Shipments in Spain, Germany, and the Netherlands took off, with sell-in up by more than 40%.
“The lack of investments in PC renewals during the past two years contributed to an aging installed base across the commercial market and, together with the end of Windows XP support, this generated large renewal needs,” said Maciej Gornicki, senior research analyst, IDC EMEA Personal Computing. “As the macroeconomic outlook improved in most Western European countries, large enterprises regained confidence and started to replace their PCs, while many companies in the SMB segment reacted late to the change in the operating system. This has mainly boosted demand for desktops in the past two quarters, while the wave of portable renewals remains ahead of us.”

The Rise of Cloud in the Channel

IDC PMS4colorversion 1 300x99 The Rise of Cloud in the Channel

Cloud services represent a growing opportunity for partners of all types in a wide array of activities across resale, services, and development. However, it’s of key importance that partners have an understanding of the what, where, how, and why of cloud services prior to embarking on wholesale business strategy change.

This IDC study, commissioned by Microsoft, examines the implications of becoming a successful cloud partner in 2013. Developed with insight garnered through in-depth conversations with leading Microsoft cloud partners and backed by supportive survey data (see methodology for further details), it provides a profile of the potential upside of integrating cloud to a partner’s mix of solution offerings.Finally, it concludes with guidance as a partner begins, or continues, their journey into the cloud.

the rise of the cloud in the channel The Rise of Cloud in the Channel

Digital Transformation Era Projects a Promising Future for Enterprise Applications Software, Says IDC

IDC PMS4colorversion 1 300x99 Digital Transformation Era Projects a Promising Future for Enterprise Applications Software, Says IDC

The Asia/Pacific excluding Japan (APeJ) Enterprise Applications (EA) software market posted a mediocre growth of 5.1% in 2013. Unlike 2012, when the EA market grew 9%, Asian enterprises were more cautious about their investment in 2013. Although organizations were keen in upgrading existing back-office applications to embrace the 3 rd platform technologies – cloud, analytics, mobility, and social – watchful spending strategy of customers and the ad hoc nature of deployments did not warrant for sustained growth in 2013.
“The 3 rd platform technologies, especially cloud, will be a critical driver for enterprise applications growth in APeJ.  Enterprises are moving from an ad hoc deployment of cloud-based applications and other 3 rd platform technologies, to a phase of strategic implementation. This new era of digital transformation and the speed of innovation of Asian businesses is expected to bring the market back on track in 2014 and through the forecast period,” says Sabharinath Bala, Research Manager of IDC’s Asia/Pacific Enterprise Application Software Research.
It was the usual suspects – SAP, Oracle, Yonyou, Infor, and Microsoft – that dominated in the region from a market share perspective, but most of these major vendors were challenged strongly by niche new players as well as the established SaaS/Cloud-based applications vendors. Some of the names noteworthy of mentioning include Cornerstone OnDemand, Kronos, NetSuite, Workday, and Xero – all of which posted strong double-digit growth in 2013.
“Although most of the major vendors have been creating new internal IP, as well as acquiring assets and expanding their cloud capability inorganically, the challenge of integrating these new resources with their existing portfolio and convincing clients and prospects to take the cloud path remained critical in attracting newer EA investments. But this scenario is slowly changing and vendors that rely primarily on maintenance and upgrade revenue for their existing legacy systems will start losing relevance in the coming days. Vendors offering cloud-based systems capable of delivering the agility, flexibility, and scalability of the dynamic Asian businesses, will trump them in their own game,” adds Sabharinath.
IDC expects the overall EA market to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 8.4% and reach US$9.5 billion in 2018. Double-digit growth is expected from markets like enterprise asset management, logistics, and procurement; and there will be strong support from mature markets like financial accounting, human capital management, and inventory management.

 

Personal Computing’s Big Three Get a Little Bigger

The New York Times

Three companies are pulling away from the pack in the PC business.

Counts of second-quarter personal computer shipments released Wednesday by two major analysis companies showed a slower-than-expected decline in PC shipments worldwide, with wealthy markets like the United States showing decent growth. But in poorer countries, alternatives such as low-cost tablets continued to affect PC sales.

The real surprise in the numbers was the relative strength of the three biggest PC makers — Lenovo, Hewlett-Packard and Dell — compared to the loss of market share by almost everyone else. Lenovo appeared to have solidified its lead as the world’s biggest PC maker, a title for which it contested with H.P. for several quarters.

One of the analysis companies, International Data Corporation, said worldwide PC shipments totaled 74.4 million units in the second quarter, a drop of 1.7 percent from the same quarter of 2013. The important United States market grew 6.9 percent, to 16.7 million units. Gartner put worldwide shipments at 75.8 million units, an increase of 0.1 percent, and United States shipments at 15.9 million units, up 7.4 percent.

Among the top five vendors, which also included Acer and Asus, global shipments rose 9.8 percent year-on-year, IDC said, while the rest of the market, made up of about 15 other computer companies, declined 18.5 percent. Gartner said companies not in the top five had a net decline in shipments of 13.8 percent.

IDC said Lenovo had 19.6 million units shipped to the world market, a rise of 15.1 percent. H.P. was second, with 13.6 million units, up 10.3 percent, and Dell was third at 10.4 million units, up 13.2 percent. Acer’s shipments fell 2.5 percent, to 6.1 million units, and Asus managed a 3.3 percent gain, to 4.6 million units.

Gartner’s percentages were much the same, though it scored an even steeper fall for Acer and a better performance for Asus. Even last quarter, according to both research companies, the companies outside the top five had 40 percent of the global PC market; now they are closer to a third. And the analysts expect them to fall further.

The better-than-expected overall performance for PC shipments was attributed to a number of factors, including strong business demand after the discontinuation of support for an older version of Microsoft’s Windows PC operating system, and consumer interest in lower-priced laptops.

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Public Cloud Services Spending Is Being Driven by Enterprise Applications Solutions, According to IDC

IDC PMS4colorversion  300x99 Public Cloud Services Spending Is Being Driven by Enterprise Applications Solutions, According to IDC

International Data Corporation (IDC) today released the latest results from the Worldwide Semiannual Public Cloud Services Tracker. For 2013, the worldwide public cloud services reached a total market size of $45.7 billion and IDC expects this market to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 23% until 2018.

“We are at a pivotal time in the battle for leadership and innovation in the cloud. IDC’s Public Cloud Services Tracker shows very rapid growth in customer cloud service spending across 19 product categories and within eight geographic regions. Not coincidentally, we see vendors introducing many new cloud offerings and slashing cloud pricing in order to capture market share. Market share leadership will certainly be up for grabs over the next 2-3 years,” said Frank Gens, Senior Vice President and Chief Analyst at IDC.

Three major product groups comprise the total public cloud services market in IDC’s software taxonomy:  Software-as-a-Service (SaaS), Platform-as-a-Service (PaaS), and Infrastructure-as-a-Service (IaaS).

The SaaS market – accounting for 72% of the total public cloud services market and forecast to grow at a 20% CAGR over the forecast period – is dominated by Enterprise Applications cloud solutions such as enterprise resource management (ERM) and customer relationship management (CRM), followed by Collaborative applications. System Infrastructure Software cloud solutions – the other major part of the SaaS market, including Security, Systems Management, and Storage Management cloud services – drove 21% of the 2013 SaaS market. From a competitive perspective, the SaaS service provider ecosystem is largely led by Salesforce.com followed by ADP and Intuit. Traditional software vendors Oracle and Microsoft hold the 4th and 5th positions, respectively.

The PaaS market – accounting for 14% of the market in 2013 with a forecast CAGR of 27% – is composed of a wide variety of highly strategic cloud app development, deployment, and management services. In 2013 and 2014, PaaS spending has been largely driven by Integration and Process Automation solutions, Data Management solutions, and Application Server Middleware services. From a market share standpoint, the 2013 PaaS market was led by Amazon.com, followed by Salesforce.com and Microsoft (both share the number 2 position). GXS and Google hold the 4th and 5th positions, respectively.

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Asia/Pacific Unified Communications as a Service Market Prospers, Driven by Imminent Cost Benefits, Flexibility and Agility of Technology: IDC

IDC PMS4colorversion  300x99 Asia/Pacific Unified Communications as a Service Market Prospers, Driven by Imminent Cost Benefits, Flexibility and Agility of Technology: IDC

IDC expects the Asia Pacific excluding Japan (APeJ) Unified Communications as a Service (UCaaS) market to surge to US$659 million in 2018, at a five-year CAGR of 89% as UCaaS Service Providers (SP) intensify their sales and marketing campaign around this service.

The market researcher believes Australia will be the largest market, followed by PRC, India and Korea respectively.

There has been an enormous interest from a wide range of businesses in adopting UCaaS because of the imminent cost benefits, flexibility and agility that the technology provides.

In fact, UCaaS has become a mainstream solution in APeJ with many global service providers (GSP) and regional service providers (RSP), offering full-fledged UCaaS as part of their core collaboration portfolio. Beside the big telco SPs, which controls a significant portion of the market, there are also large system integrators (SI), IT consulting firms and distributors offering UCaaS directly to businesses.

The growing attraction of an agile and opex-friendly collaboration tool model to support business expansion will continue to be compelling to many organizations.

On the other hand, many of the factors holding back adoption such as security, bandwidth demands, reliability, regulation compliance and consistency will be partially solved as the technology matures, SLAs develops, bandwidth cost drops, Internet speed increases and more local data centers start to offer UCaaS, which will help to enhance user experience.

Hence IDC believes that there will be very strong interest in UCaaS solutions among mid-large enterprises, as well as small businesses. In particular, IDC has observed strong adoption interest in markets such as in Australia/New Zealand (ANZ), India, Vietnam, Indonesia and Singapore.

Both enterprise customers and IT providers are rapidly looking to UCaaS as a way to transform their business and become more efficient, flexible and agile, explains Ryan Tay, senior research manager for Telecoms and Unified Communications, IDC Asia/Pacific.

“UCaaS can offer both providers and customers very different choices about resource dedication, tenancy, cost and control over their computing assets, giving them much greater confidence about deploying collaborative applications on the cloud. The result is a prospering APeJ market for UCaaS, growing to approximately US$659 million by 2018, at five-year CAGR of 89%”, says Tay.

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The Australian Mobile Phone Market Hit Seasonal Low In Q1 2014, says IDC Australia

IDC PMS4colorversion 1 300x99 The Australian Mobile Phone Market Hit Seasonal Low In Q1 2014, says IDC Australia

A total of 2.05 million mobile phones were shipped in Q1 2014, recording -22% quarter-on-quarter (QoQ) and -17% year-on-year (YoY) decline as the market rationalised following a peak Christmas season last quarter.

The general migration from feature phone to smartphone continued on into the first quarter of 2014 as expected, resulting in a -38% decline in feature phone shipments. Smartphone shipments, however, declined as well by -20% QoQ, caused by a seasonal lull resulting from the transition period between two major product launches in the market.

“The smartphone market in Q1 was subdued when the initial hype over Apple’s new iPhone 5s and 5c tapered off from last quarter. Consumers were also holding off their purchases in anticipation for the next wave of Galaxy S smartphones from Samsung, then rumoured to be in Q2,” says IDC’s Senior Market Analyst, Amy Cheah.

Android continue to hold the largest share of the overall market with Samsung leading the pack. The vendor took to reducing prices of older generation Galaxy S phones ahead of a highly anticipated Galaxy S5 launch, regaining share from Apple as demand for iPhone 5s and 5c normalises.

IDC expects 4G LTE adoption and migration from feature phones to remain key drivers of smartphone adoption, with a forecasted growth of 5% in smartphone shipments by 2014. Smartphone screen sizes are also expected to be larger as economies of scale drive cost of display panel downwards. “While still niche now given the high price points, phones with screens larger than 5 inches, or more commonly known as Phablets, will become mainstream as lower display cost opens up greater opportunities for affordable low-end Phablets in the long run,” says Cheah.

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Screen Shot 2014 07 02 at 12.46.27 PM The Australian Mobile Phone Market Hit Seasonal Low In Q1 2014, says IDC Australia

Smartphone Shipments Account For More Than Half of Thailand’s Phone Market for the First Time in 1Q2014: IDC

IDC PMS4colorversion 1 300x99 Smartphone Shipments Account For More Than Half of Thailand’s Phone Market for the First Time in 1Q2014: IDC

With falling price and continuous push from the telecom carriers, smartphone shipments accounted for more than half of Thailand’s mobile phone market for the first time even though the economy shrank 0.6% year-on-year (YoY) amidst the political conundrums that led to major roads in Bangkok being blocked for weeks.

This places Thailand as the third country in Southeast Asia after Singapore and Malaysia to ship more smartphones than feature phones.

According to IDC’s Asia/Pacific Quarterly Mobile Phone Tracker, the Thailand mobile phone market began the year with 5.7 million units, which represent a 7% year-on-year decline. Dragging down the total market was feature phones, which faced a 27% YoY decline. Meanwhile, smartphone showed a healthy growth of 27% YoY.

“These mirroring changes are a reminder of the way affordable smartphones have been successfully replacing feature phones in Thailand. Perhaps the most potent force now is the emergence of smartphones that cost less than THB2500 (US$80), a category which did not exist in Thailand a year ago, but now account for almost 20% of the total smartphone market,” says Satianporn Suvansupa, Associate Market Analyst for Client Devices Research at IDC Thailand.

“The transition has been driven largely by the carriers, which have been relentlessly persuading customers to adopt smartphones after the 3G licenses were granted. These trends are in line with IDC’s prediction that 2014 will be the first year smartphone outsells feature phone in Thailand.”

The relatively well-off performance of smartphone shipment also indicates its steady imperviousness to the sliding economy and political difficulties that have put a severe strain on other client devices such as PC and tablet. This is due to increased importance of constant communications, and also smartphone’s ability to partially serve other devices’ functions.

“Phone usage has become such an integrated part of our lives now to the point that it’ll be difficult mentally and practically to delay our phone purchase once the current one is lost or broken down. As such, consumers may at worse respond to their drop in income by choosing a reasonably priced smartphone instead of stopping the purchase altogether.”

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Worldwide PC Monitor Market Undergoes a Slight Decline in the First Quarter of 2014, According to IDC

IDC PMS4colorversion 1 300x99 Worldwide PC Monitor Market Undergoes a Slight Decline in the First Quarter of 2014, According to IDC

Worldwide PC monitor shipments totaled nearly 33.7 million units in the first quarter of 2014 (1Q14), a year-over-year decline of -0.4%, according to the International Data Corporation (IDCWorldwide Quarterly PC Monitor Tracker. IDC expects worldwide shipments to continue on their current trajectory, slipping to 106 million units for the full year 2018.

“Despite the overall decline, the shipment totals were stronger than the forecast of 31 million units,” said Phuong Hang, Program Director, Worldwide Trackers at IDC. “Geographically, Japan and the Middle East and Africa (MEA) regions delivered the largest gains during the first quarter while Dell and HP both experienced solid shipment growth.”

Technology Highlights

  • LED backlight technology adoption continues to increase with a new high of 92% market share in 1Q14. This represents a year-over-year increase of 16.4%.
  • Screen size of 21.x-inches wide has held the largest worldwide share for the last six quarters, with 20.5% share in 1Q14.
  • Aspect ratio of 16:9 continues to dominate with 81.3% market share, which is 6.5 times the second most widely used Aspect ratio of 16:10.
  • Touch screen monitors are still a small segment of the total PC monitor market at 0.4% share, with sales mostly in the U.S. at 32.8% of the total. HP holds a 35.1% share of the U.S. market.

Vendor Highlights

  • Dell – Dell maintained its number 1 position in 1Q14 with worldwide market share of 14.9% on shipments of 5.0 million units. Japan and Western Europe delivered the biggest gains for Dell with 32.4% and 14.7% quarter-over-quarter growth respectively, while the U.S. market remained essentially flat.
  • Samsung –Samsung regained the number 2 position from last quarter in terms of total units shipped and maintained the top position in terms of total revenue with $1.11 billion in 1Q14. Its revenue represents 18.4% share in total market value.
  • HP – Despite being ranked number 3 worldwide, HP holds the number 1 position in Canada and number 2 in the U.S. HP posted 8.9% year-over-year growth for the quarter.
  • LG – LG maintained its number 4 position and continues to be the number 1 PC monitor vendor in Latin America with 33% share. It also achieved a new high in unit shipments of 3.5 million in 1Q14.
  • Lenovo – Lenovo rounded out the Top 5 vendor ranking in 1Q14, buoyed by its number 1 position in Asia/Pacific (excluding Japan)(APeJ) with 2 million units. Lenovo’s biggest gains in the quarter were in Japan and Western Europe with 16.6% and 5.3%, respectively.

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EMEA Security Appliance Market Stagnant in 1Q14, Says IDC

IDC PMS4colorversion 1 300x99 EMEA Security Appliance Market Stagnant in 1Q14, Says IDC

According to International Data Corporation’s (IDC) Europe, Middle East, and Africa Quarterly Security Appliance Tracker, the EMEA security appliance market value reached $785.5 million in 1Q14 — a 1.4% decline year on year. Shipments fell 2.3% year on year, with 171,359 units shipped.

IDC expects the EMEA security appliance market to grow by a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 6.3% in the five years to 2018, to reach $4.4 billion in value.

EMEA Market Highlights

Cisco is the top overall security appliance vendor, with 19.0% market revenue share in 1Q14. Cisco increased its lead over closest rival Check Point to 1.8 percentage points (from 0.9% in 4Q13).

Unified threat management (UTM) was the largest security appliance product category  in 1Q14 and the only category to see growth in the quarter. UTM appliances increased 16.1% year on year to represent 48.7% of the total market value.

“The security appliance market in Europe, the Middle East, and Africa slowed down in 1Q14 despite a lively industrial production recovery both in Western and Eastern Europe,” said Oleg Sidorkin, senior research analyst at IDC. “We expect overall demand for security appliances to recover in the next quarters, though the political instability in Ukraine and the economic recession in Russia, one of the most dynamic markets in the past, will have an impact on market development.”

Western Europe Market Highlights

The Western European market was also lethargic, with the security appliance sector valued at $607.37 million in 1Q14 — 0.5% growth over the same quarter in 2013.

IDC forecasts that the Western European security appliance market will reach $3.46 billion in value in 2018, growing at a 6.8% CAGR over the forecast period.

“Security threats are evolving fast, attacks are gaining in complexity, and the stakes are higher than ever before for organizations of all sizes,” said Romain Fouchereau, manager, security appliance research, IDC. “Unified solutions are the most simple and effective way to protect the network and were the only product segment with positive growth this quarter, and will represent over half of total security appliance revenue in Western Europe in the next five years.”

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